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The profit of doom. Forecasting excess winter deaths due to the real increase in domestic energy prices

Howieson, Stirling (2008) The profit of doom. Forecasting excess winter deaths due to the real increase in domestic energy prices. [Report]

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    Abstract

    In 1991 Boardman demonstrated that the UK has 30 000 to 60 000 more deaths between December and March than in the preceding and succeeding four month periods. Although there is some evidence demonstrating a reducing trend in excess winter deaths over the past 15 years the UK still has much higher winter death rates than other countries with similar or more severe climates, implying that it is not outdoor exposure to cold that is the key determinant. Northern Finland - where winter temperatures regularly drop to minus 20OC - has a significantly lower rate of excess winter deaths than London however, Finish dwellings have historically had much higher levels of insulation and whole house central heating is commonplace. In the UK 90% of the excess winter deaths are in the elderly population and are registered under three generic disease headings: ischaemic heart, cerebrovascular and respiratory.

    Item type: Report
    ID code: 28652
    Notes: Other media coverage, not online: "20 000 excess winter deaths due to fuel price hike" Comments on research paper predicting 20 000 EWD due to the real increase in domestic energy costs that took place in August 2008. ITV news headline story. 14/10/2008 Scotlands winter death toll to rise, Article on the research paper (The profit of doom) predicting an additional 2000 EWDs in the winter of 2008/09 in Scotland due to the real increases in domestic energy prices. Sunday Times, 09/11/2008
    Keywords: heating, energy, housing, winter deaths, energy prices, fuel prices, Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform , Environmental engineering
    Subjects: Social Sciences > Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
    Technology > Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) > Environmental engineering
    Department: Faculty of Engineering > Architecture
    Related URLs:
    Depositing user: Dr Nina Baker
    Date Deposited: 01 Nov 2010 15:09
    Last modified: 12 Mar 2012 11:21
    URI: http://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/28652

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