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Air pollution, economic activity and respiratory illness : evidence from Canadian cities, 1974-1994

Koop, Gary and McKitrick, Ross and Tole, Lise (2010) Air pollution, economic activity and respiratory illness : evidence from Canadian cities, 1974-1994. Environmental Modelling and Software, 25 (7). pp. 873-885. ISSN 1364-8152

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Many studies have reported a relationship between urban air pollution levels and respiratory health problems. However, there are notable variations in results, depending on modeling approach, covariate selection, period of analysis, etc. To help clarify these factors we compare and apply two estimation approaches: model selection and Bayesian model averaging, to a new data base on 11 large Canadian cities spanning 1974 to 1994. Our data allow us to compare monthly hospital admission rates for all lung diagnostic categories to ambient levels of five common air contaminants, while controlling for income, smoking and meteorological covariates. Only in restricted models on the later sample are we able to replicate a link between hospital admissions and pollution. In the most general specifications we find the health effects of air pollution are insignificant, and those that are significant run opposite to conventional expectations. Income effects are robust across specifications, suggesting that a simultaneous reduction in income and pollution could have a negative net effect on lung-related health.

Item type: Article
ID code: 28124
Keywords: air pollution, cities, environmental modelling, Regional economics. Space in economics, Environmental Science(all), Ecological Modelling
Subjects: Social Sciences > Communities. Classes. Races > Regional economics. Space in economics
Department: Strathclyde Business School > Economics
Depositing user: Miss Jenna Wright
Date Deposited: 13 Oct 2010 15:12
Last modified: 05 Jan 2016 12:20
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