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World class computing and information science research at Strathclyde...

The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde's Open Access research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by University of Strathclyde researchers, including by researchers from the Department of Computer & Information Sciences involved in mathematically structured programming, similarity and metric search, computer security, software systems, combinatronics and digital health.

The Department also includes the iSchool Research Group, which performs leading research into socio-technical phenomena and topics such as information retrieval and information seeking behaviour.

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Performance evaluation of dynamic trading strategies in UK stock returns incorporating lagged conditioning information

Anderson, G. and Fletcher, Jonathan and Marshall, A.P. (2011) Performance evaluation of dynamic trading strategies in UK stock returns incorporating lagged conditioning information. European Journal of Finance, 17 (1). pp. 67-82.

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Abstract

This paper evaluates the performance of the optimal mean-variance portfolio decision when lagged conditioning information is included in the investment universe. Motivated by the dynamic trading literature we evaluate the performance of eight conditioned information portfolios against an unconditional portfolio and various benchmark strategies. We find with that including lagged conditioning information into the optimal mean-variance portfolio decision can add economic wealth. A number of the conditioning information variables used are significantly effective at improving the portfolio performance in terms of the Sharpe (1966) ratio, Certainty Equivalent Return, and Jensen (1968) performance. We find that the lagged market excess returns instrument has the greatest impact on the portfolio decision.